Relations between Washington and Beijing are strengthening, which raises concerns in Manila. In Southeast Asia, a strategic partner of the USA, India likely aims to improve relations between the USA and Russia. However, against the backdrop of tensions in relations between the USA and China, India may experience some pressure. This is exacerbated by the preserved strategic partnership between India and Russia, including new agreements on security, signed last year by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Putin in Moscow.
President Trump expressed a desire to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping to revive trade negotiations. Trump also noted that he has 'great relationships' with Xi Jinping and hopes for 'an agreement with China.' The world continues to grapple with this potential geopolitical shift.
Korea may face strategic consequences if relations between Washington and Beijing or Moscow improve. The Korean Peninsula is located at the crossroads of all three major powers, which may lead to changes in the regional situation. Korea is unlikely to see the same pressure regarding denuclearization from the DPRK if tensions between the USA and China or Russia are alleviated.
Taiwan, as a strategic partner of the USA, may feel instability with the improvement of American-Chinese relations. In Asia, there is a striving for a peaceful and stable environment for social and economic development. Other Asian countries also favor improved relations between major powers. The world is undergoing a transformation, and the region may be somewhat inclined toward future changes.
Manila, for a long time confronting Beijing over disputed maritime territories, may experience uncertainty in the event of a localization of American-Chinese collusion. The USA and the Philippines adopt measures to strengthen their alliance, expanding military bases in the Philippines that could be used by the military fleet.
Overall, the Southeast Asian region awaits 'signals' from the improvement of relations between the USA and China and Russia. Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam strive to avoid competition between states and wars in their zone. Countries are ready to cooperate with major powers for the purpose of self-defense.
